Episode 290
Americans just want a Bud LIght
Ryan Walters pays the piper, politicians don't want Oklahomans to propose ballot initiatives, and we discuss how well the parties are (or are not) connecting with voters.
Links mentioned:
- Walters settled with Ethics Commission for social media violations
- But…a lawmaker, Ellen Pogemiller, has asked the Attorney General to weigh in on Walters’ connection to a new “professional association” called “Teacher Freedom Alliance.“ She asked AG Drummond to “clarify the legality” of Walters’ conduct concerning the new “Teacher Freedom Alliance.” She also asked Drummond to “investigate the financial ties and contacts (Walters) has with TFA.”
- A law passed last year creating a new penalty for what it called “impermissible occupation” has been mostly cleared for enforcement by the US DOJ. A federal judge put a stay on the bill under Biden, but now the Trump Administration has dismissed it.
- Speaking of changes to federal policy, the Oklahoma Insurance Commissioner, Glen Mulready, who most of us forget exists, has issued a warning or a heads up to Oklahomans who have health insurance through the Marketplace (aka Obamacare) that their premiums will likely increase dramatically for 2026 if the federal enhanced Advanced Premium Tax Credits aren’t extended by December.
- David Shor, head of data science at Blue Rose Research, was on The Ezra Klein Show this week, and it’s fascinating to hear / watch.
Transcript
Hello and welcome to Let's Pod This.
2
:My name is Andy Moore.
3
:It's good to be with you again this week.
4
:Friends, I'll apologize off the top.
5
:I'm a little stuffy.
6
:All the wind and the dust
and the wildfires has really
7
:got me a little messed up.
8
:And I'm sure, like many of
you, are in the same boat.
9
:I, it feels like everyone I
talk to every day is like,
10
:these allergies are killing me.
11
:And politics also slightly killing me.
12
:And like many of you, I'm sure.
13
:Happy spring break for those of you
who celebrate, who have kids or jobs
14
:where you get to take a spring break.
15
:Happy sunshine week to all of you who
care about government transparency.
16
:As we highlight almost every
year, the Third week of March is
17
:historically sunshine week, celebrated
by transparency organizations, and
18
:most notably, the press, the media.
19
:Each week even Oklahoma Attorney General
Gittner Drummond had an excellent op
20
:ed in the Oklahoman about transparency.
21
:Headline states, transparency
is the heart of democracy.
22
:Which is true.
23
:It's at least one of the
valves, primary artery of that.
24
:In Oklahoma, the A.
25
:G.
26
:'s office is the Department or
agency that is, I think, primarily
27
:responsible for enforcing the Open
Records Act and Open Meeting Act.
28
:They do host trainings around the state.
29
:I think they had more than 750 people
who attended their trainings this year.
30
:They often do that in conjunction with the
Oklahoma Press Association and sometimes
31
:with Freedom of Information, Oklahoma.
32
:Which is a non profit that
celebrates or champions transparency
33
:and the First Amendment.
34
:And in fact, FOI Oklahoma will be hosting
an event about transparency, about the
35
:Open Records Act, Open Meeting Act, and
its vital importance to our democracy.
36
:And just the first amendment in general
and that event is going to be next week.
37
:I believe on Tuesday or Thursday, I
think it's on Thursday the 28th We
38
:look at my calendar and I'll tell you
it is on nope, I was wrong, it was
39
:on Tuesday the 25th, March 25th FOI
Oklahoma presents Summit on Threats to
40
:First Amendment Freedoms from 6 to 8 p.
41
:m.
42
:at the Northwest Library in Oklahoma City.
43
:That's the one, Patience Ladding
Northwest Library, it's at
44
:MacArthur and 122nd Northwest
122nd, from 6 to 8 in the evening.
45
:I will be there it should be an
interesting conversation, a good event.
46
:I think there's going to be a number of
elected officials and other community
47
:leaders there to really have a, I think
a pretty honest conversation about what
48
:are the primary threats that we might be
seeing to our First Amendment freedoms.
49
:There are five freedoms
listed in the First Amendment.
50
:If you can name them, please send me
an email at podcast at letsfixthis.
51
:org and we'll give you a sticker.
52
:Who doesn't love a sticker, right?
53
:Great.
54
:You can also find A.
55
:G.
56
:Drummond's op ed in the
Oklahoman at theoklahoman.
57
:com if you feel so inclined.
58
:So I wanted to start this week with
a brief note just of condolences
59
:in our hearts are with all of the
victims in Oklahoma from wildfire,
60
:wildfires over the past week.
61
:Last weekend, I think in my last
episode, I mentioned that I was headed
62
:to Stillwater for the Mid South Gravel
Bike Race, which unfortunately was
63
:cancelled due to the wildfires as we
drove up there on Friday afternoon.
64
:It was a bizarre trip, right?
65
:Just, we all remember, like,
the wind was just raging.
66
:Crosswinds made it difficult to drive.
67
:The dust in the air gave
everything a bit of a sepia tone.
68
:And once we turned off of 35 onto
Highway 51 and were headed east into
69
:Stillwater, about halfway through
there is where we hit the fires.
70
:And to see large scale wildfires just
running rampant across some of those
71
:pastures out there was really striking
and it wasn't long before smoke made
72
:the roads unsafe to travel in the law
enforcement had his reroute and kind
73
:of take some back roads into town.
74
:And I think that first night was
Friday night was really anxiety
75
:provoking for everybody in Stillwater.
76
:We knew the fires were close.
77
:We knew that they were blowing
our direction and closing in.
78
:When we got to our Airbnb, us and our
friends, we didn't unpack because we
79
:thought we might have to leave again.
80
:Thankfully we didn't, but as news began
to trickle in as the fires passed and
81
:we saw the number of homes that were
impacted that night and the next day.
82
:The event shifted from a 4, 300
person, bike race and running race
83
:on top of that, to a benefit event.
84
:I know they've raised over 10, 000 just
from a couple of cyclists that did, like,
85
:really long 300 mile rides, it's like
a a ride a thon almost, to raise funds.
86
:A lot of local businesses Stone Cloud
Brewing, some of the event sponsors
87
:pivoted and made made some contributions
towards helping those in wildfire relief
88
:into the United Way of Payne County.
89
:If you are interested in helping victims
of the wildfires in Stillwater or
90
:Norman or anywhere else in the state
I suggest, looking for trusted sources
91
:there, or if families directly impacted,
finding ways to give to them directly.
92
:But groups like United Way, like Red
Cross if you're a Norman Red Dirt Voices
93
:is a mutual aid organization, or Red Dirt
Collective, excuse me, Red Dirt Collective
94
:is a mutual aid organization that is doing
a lot of work directly with families.
95
:They're a great way to give there, so.
96
:Gosh what a scary weekend.
97
:I know that, the wind, even through
last night, was still pretty high.
98
:I think we're experiencing some
high winds coming up in a few days.
99
:And until we get some, I guess,
like, April showers to dampen things
100
:again, this dry period, this windy
period, means this is the new normal.
101
:We can get into a much larger conversation
about climate change and how we arrived
102
:at this point, and why weather patterns
have perhaps shifted the way they have,
103
:but that's an episode for another day.
104
:Let's start with some
updates from last week.
105
:There were several news stories
that we covered last week.
106
:That we already have updates on.
107
:I think some I mentioned
we would, and indeed we do.
108
:First of all, State Superintendent
Ryan Walters, as we discussed
109
:last week, had settled an issue
with the Ethics Commission.
110
:They were also filing some new ones.
111
:They were sending some to district court.
112
:But this one in particular, they
mentioned that he had already
113
:settled, but last week they had
not yet released the terms of that.
114
:And this is an issue where he was
using his I guess his personal
115
:Twitter account, but it made it look
like it was an official account.
116
:It had Superintendent in the name, it
like, it had his official headshot,
117
:all those things that you might use
on an official government account.
118
:And the Ethics Commission said,
hey, this is very blurry here.
119
:You are misleading the public and it
is making it seem like you're using An
120
:official account for personal purposes,
namely endorsing and supporting or
121
:opposing political candidates in
some other, like, partisan issues.
122
:And so, in response, he settled
he has to pay 5, 000 fine, which
123
:is not huge, but it's not nothing.
124
:And if it was me and I got fined
5, 000, that's a lot of money.
125
:He also had to change his profile
photo and his handle, or whatever
126
:that's called, the at name.
127
:To keep using it as a personal account.
128
:And I guess he's done that.
129
:I don't know.
130
:I don't actually follow him, because
I don't need that in my life.
131
:But that's the outcome of that one.
132
:But then also this week on the new side of
news, a state lawmaker, Ellen Pogemiller,
133
:representative from House District 88,
whom we had on the show just a few weeks
134
:ago, actually she has formally requested
that the Attorney General weigh in on
135
:whether or not Ryan Walter's connection
to this new professional association,
136
:which is called Teacher Freedom Alliance.
137
:A representative, Pogue Miller, asked
AG Drummond to quote, clarify the
138
:legality of Walters conduct concerning
this new Teacher Freedom Alliance.
139
:She also asked Drummond to
investigate any financial ties and
140
:contacts between Walters and TFA.
141
:What's funny to me about this, or
interesting, is that this group,
142
:Teacher Freedom Alliance, I think
they say that they are a professional
143
:association or professional organization,
but they really act like A union.
144
:And I think Walter's rhetoric around
this, he said, like, now there's an
145
:alternative to the woke teacher unions.
146
:And anyone who has followed Oklahoma
news for the last several years has seen
147
:Ryan Walters use the phrase, like, woke
teacher unions, right, a number of times.
148
:He often characterizes them as
being this, like, arm of the left
149
:deep state and that they're, like,
indoctrinating teachers, I don't know,
150
:like, it's all kind of wild stuff.
151
:Considering that they're a labor union
that just wants public employees, teachers
152
:and school employees to be appropriately
paid and compensated they, to now be
153
:aligning with this group that looks
like it's like a stand up organization
154
:just on the opposite side of the aisle.
155
:A lot of the rhetoric is definitely
around, um, like using the term
156
:freedom in the way that, the
Freedom Caucus and this far right
157
:contingent tend to use that word.
158
:So we'll see.
159
:The AG's office has reported that
they've received that request and
160
:they'll be responding as appropriate.
161
:So we'll see what happens over
the next few weeks with that.
162
:Of course, everything here is like a
little pull, a little more political
163
:than usual because the Attorney
General is running for governor.
164
:And then rumors are on Ryan
Walters that he's either running
165
:for governor or running for re
election as state superintendent.
166
:We don't, none of that has
been formally announced yet.
167
:But there's this like, I don't know, bias,
expectation, suspicion, something, right?
168
:About these two guys in the
news that it makes it difficult,
169
:I think, for voters, right?
170
:For most of us.
171
:Like, you want justice to be
served as necessary, right?
172
:Either people are convicted or exonerated
or punished or set free or whatever.
173
:It's like the right thing to
do by the letter of the law.
174
:But as we all know, when politicians
get involved, it gets murky, right?
175
:Because then there are not just legal
incentives, right versus wrong, there are
176
:political incentives, how does this play
with my base, my supporters, um, which
177
:of these groups is going to donate to my
campaign or to support me along the way.
178
:And that, I think, shifts the incentives
that a lot of these leaders have, right?
179
:I for one, want our Attorney
General to be incentivized by the
180
:law, by doing the right thing.
181
:I want our state superintendent
to be incentivized by doing the
182
:right thing for public schools.
183
:That's his job as state superintendent of
public instruction not by political wins.
184
:I also get, right, realistically,
that what I personally may believe is
185
:the right thing for Oklahoma's public
schools may be different than what
186
:Superintendent Walters believes to be
right for Oklahoma's public schools.
187
:That, again, is a much larger
conversation for another episode.
188
:I just do think it's funny, just to come
back to, like, that this Teacher Freedom
189
:Alliance, like, really looks and is acting
like a teacher's union, but we know that
190
:Walters hates unions, so Who are they?
191
:What are they?
192
:Are they a think tank?
193
:I saw them described as a
think tank in one write up.
194
:And so, I'll be very curious.
195
:Also, whenever new groups like this
pop up, especially around, like,
196
:in the close proximity to elected
officials, I get a little suspicious.
197
:And it sounds like Representative
Pogemiller might be a
198
:little suspicious as well.
199
:I guess we'll find out.
200
:Also last week, we discussed a law that
is going through the process this year
201
:that addresses, we'll say, immigration.
202
:That's a broad term for this, but that's
what it's about, and it seeks to fiddle
203
:with a a law that was passed last year
that was pretty contentious, and this
204
:that deals with a, what they called,
quote, impermissible occupation, right?
205
:So this law passed last year House
Bill:
206
:I don't have it written down.
207
:Basically created a new penalty
for what they called impermissible
208
:occupation, which means like being
in Oklahoma illegally is what
209
:they're trying to say, right?
210
:I said there's some sort of
permission process, but they're
211
:trying to dance around undocumented
folks living in Oklahoma.
212
:And that basically, if you are
caught breaking any other law and
213
:then you are found to be here.
214
:Illegally, then there's
an additional consequence.
215
:The law this year would make that
a felony by itself, and the reason
216
:they have a law this year is that
the previous law, the one passed last
217
:year, 4156, has been on hold, right?
218
:A federal judge issued a stay last year
that said, hang on, like, this is perhaps
219
:unconstitutional or illegal in some way.
220
:So it cannot be enforced while
it goes through the process
221
:and that was filed by the U.
222
:S.
223
:Department of Justice last year
when Joe Biden was still president.
224
:As we have a new president now, a
new head of DOJ and the new DOG,
225
:excuse me, DOJ administration
has dismissed that case entirely.
226
:Which means that law can go into
effect as it was passed last year.
227
:Pending another sort of If there's
not another legal challenge filed,
228
:or some other stay put on it.
229
:As with legal stuff, there's
always something else coming.
230
:It also means that the fate of the
bill this year is somewhat in question.
231
:I would expect they'll probably still go
through with it, because I think they were
232
:aiming to clean up some of the language.
233
:Dealt with it before.
234
:But regardless, I wanted to update you.
235
:Don't you know that has passed?
236
:Or been dismissed, so that
it's free to be enforced.
237
:The AG's office here said that they were
reviewing it as well, and as far as they
238
:can tell, It just means that the federal
government is okay with it being enforced.
239
:I think they'll be looking to
take a look at it at the state
240
:level now, again, as well.
241
:And then for my own piece,
right, this is Andy's commentary.
242
:I think this is dumb.
243
:This, not this issue necessarily,
but like, this bill necessarily,
244
:but this issue more broadly,
that like, the partisanship of
245
:law, which I know is a thing.
246
:And it's annoying because when we, the
public, start to realize that what is
247
:considered legal or illegal varies quite
widely by political winds, right, by
248
:who's in the White House or who's in the
governor's mansion or like who's in power,
249
:if it means that the law does not stand
on its own, and that erodes the public's
250
:trust in institutions a great deal, right?
251
:Even if we were to take something as
simple as a speed limit, and let's
252
:say speed limits were 55 miles an
hour when Republicans are in charge
253
:or 70 miles an hour when Democrats
are in charge, it would be absurd for
254
:us to think that we have to drive a
certain speed just because someone's.
255
:In charge, in a state, right?
256
:That could vary state to state,
that could vary city to city.
257
:And it could also like what if
they don't replace all the signs?
258
:That's a big expense if they do it.
259
:There's all these like
trickle down effects of that.
260
:And that would be ridiculous.
261
:Because it would just tell us that it is
not based on science or safety standards.
262
:It is based on politics.
263
:And I think most people feel like
that's a dumb way to govern, right?
264
:That there should be, we understand that
there's a certain amount of partisanship
265
:that is inherent in the system that might
flavor priorities or some like funding
266
:decisions, and maybe even some tax
policy, like there's some element of it.
267
:But now in this modern world
where everything top to bottom is
268
:completely tainted in partisanship.
269
:Red or blue, there is very
little room for anything that is
270
:in between or outside of that.
271
:If one party is for something,
the other party necessarily feels
272
:like they must be against it.
273
:There's very little overlap where
both groups are for something or
274
:both groups are opposed to something.
275
:Then it makes it really hard for all of us
in the world to like find our way through.
276
:And so in this, going back
to this example, right, like
277
:the idea that someone's.
278
:I think most people would agree, right?
279
:If there's, if someone is in the
country and has come here not through
280
:the prescribed channels, like they are
here in a undocumented or illegal way,
281
:not that they as a person are illegal,
that's a whole other conversation, but
282
:like their presence here was outside
the prescripted method in the law.
283
:Like, I think most Americans agree
like, okay, well, that's not ideal.
284
:And that's like arguably even wrong.
285
:Or like, okay.
286
:And then you have an option of
like, well, what's the problem here?
287
:Is it the fact that they are here?
288
:Is that the problem?
289
:What if they're working and
paying taxes and raising a family
290
:and contributing to society?
291
:Like their presence might be
great and in many cases is.
292
:The problem then is not on the
individual, but on the system
293
:that forced them to end up here.
294
:In this method, right?
295
:Many, most, I don't know, I haven't
started, but many immigrants, I'll
296
:say most immigrants, want to come
to America to have a better life.
297
:Isn't that the whole thing?
298
:It's like inscribed on
the Statue of Liberty.
299
:This is a whole thing.
300
:America is a melting pot, and we
have celebrated that for 200 years.
301
:Our immigration system
right now is a Messed up.
302
:And we're not alone.
303
:A bunch of countries, like most Western,
civilized, industrialized countries,
304
:like, are experiencing this problem with
immigration that they haven't figured
305
:out how to wrap their head around
because it has become an intractable
306
:problem where neither party wants to
collaborate or compromise with the
307
:other to make a solution that's workable
that actually addresses the problem.
308
:Even, last year or the year before last
Oklahoma Senator James Lankford like
309
:proposed an immigration reform bill that
was, had bipartisan support, but went down
310
:in flames because someone who was not yet
the president, Trump, was out of office
311
:and he said he didn't like it and that
tanked the bill from outside the Capitol.
312
:And so When problems like this that
do have bipartisan support towards
313
:solutions, not even great solutions, just
like a temporary partial solution had
314
:bipartisan support, and some dude who is
not in office of any kind can sink it,
315
:our incentives are misaligned, right?
316
:Politicians are governing or attempting to
govern, perhaps for right reasons, right?
317
:But they're being incentivized
to do it for wrong ones, right?
318
:And often, those wrong ones are
simply just getting re elected.
319
:Like, when a politician's primary
goal is to get re elected and not
320
:to serve the people that they're
currently elected to serve?
321
:This is, we've put the emphasis
on the wrong syllable, right?
322
:There's something here that they are
rewarding, that we are rewarding.
323
:That is not what most people want.
324
:Most people want government to function so
well that we never have to think about it.
325
:And that is clearly not the
way things are going right now.
326
:Speaking of changes to federal policy,
the, also this week, the Oklahoma
327
:Insurance Commissioner, Glenn Mulready,
who most of us forget exists as an
328
:individual, but as a position, like
I forget the insurance commissioner
329
:is on a statewide elected official,
they'll be on the ballot next year.
330
:It's someone we'll be electing next year.
331
:He issued a warning, or like more of
a heads up this week to Oklahomans
332
:who have health insurance through the
marketplace, the Affordable Care Act,
333
:Obamacare, whatever you want to call it.
334
:Premiums, the part you pay each month,
are very likely to increase dramatically
335
:next year if the federal enhanced advanced
premium tax credits aren't extended.
336
:Okay, so let me break this down.
337
:The ACA was passed years ago, right,
under Obama, and rolled out slowly
338
:across America, not without some
hiccups, but it's been in effect
339
:for quite a while now, right?
340
:More than 10 years, I think.
341
:And in Oklahoma, there's like 300, 000
Oklahomans that have health insurance
342
:they buy through the marketplace,
right, through the Affordable Care Act.
343
:And just like any insurance, there's
a monthly premium you have to pay.
344
:During the pandemic the federal
government, as part of their
345
:big stimulus aid bills, included
basically a discount, right?
346
:They said, we're gonna reduce
premiums for everybody on
347
:Marketplace by a substantial amount.
348
:Because there's a lot of, economic
instability, a lot of uncertainty, people
349
:are losing jobs, everything was in chaos.
350
:And so the Fed said, we're
going to send you some checks.
351
:We're going to like, make this big
discount to make it easier to afford.
352
:So if you like, lose your job
or things change, maybe you
353
:can still keep bumping along.
354
:For most Oklahomans, like if you're
an average Oklahoman who has a silver
355
:plan through the marketplace, it's like
gold, silver, bronze, platinum, I guess.
356
:If you have a silver plan, which is like
a middle of the road, regular plan, Right
357
:now, your premium is around 58 a month.
358
:That includes this, like, extra discount.
359
:But, the pandemic ended.
360
:Things are back to normal ish.
361
:There's a new administration in town.
362
:And so, they're like, a
new congress is in town.
363
:They're saying, hey, we
gotta end these discounts.
364
:We've been given for several years,
because it's costing a lot of money.
365
:In fact, Cumulatively, this costs,
these extra discounts cost like 338
366
:billion, which is a lot of money.
367
:But it's not going to nothing, right?
368
:Like, it's helping pay for insurance.
369
:For millions of people.
370
:Like I said, in Oklahoma there's
300, 000, just in our little state.
371
:And so if you are paying 58 bucks a
month and these discounts go away, it
372
:means that next year your premium will
be something like 153 dollars a month.
373
:So 100 bucks a month increase.
374
:Which is a lot, right?
375
:That's a lot for everybody.
376
:Most everybody.
377
:For sure everyone has
Marketplace insurance.
378
:That's a lot of money.
379
:That might mean that people
can't afford it anymore.
380
:And so they drop their plan
and they don't have insurance.
381
:And that sparks a whole other problem.
382
:What I haven't heard yet is any
acknowledgement that a lot of the
383
:politicians who fought against the
ACA are now fighting for it because
384
:they don't want their constituents
to lose insurance coverage, right?
385
:This idea suddenly that Congress
might end these discounts and throw
386
:a bunch of chaos, a bunch of, and
effectively throw people off insurance,
387
:right, by their own volition.
388
:Force them off by higher prices means
that fewer people will have insurance.
389
:And that is the kind of thing that
like, is a proper incentive, right?
390
:Politicians should be incentivized to
make sure that their constituents are like
391
:healthy and have some economic security
and aren't gonna go completely bankrupt if
392
:they break their arm or toe or something.
393
:So we'll see what happens.
394
:They've got until December,
so we got a long time to go.
395
:But it's going to be a tough deal.
396
:Like, I mean, just financially
speaking, 338 billion is a lot of money.
397
:Especially when it was like
designed to be temporary.
398
:But as we know, the federal government,
there's a lot of stuff that is
399
:passed in a temporary way that has
a magical way of becoming permanent.
400
:So we'll see what happens with that.
401
:And I think, again, this is Andy
talking, but Shouldn't we be talking
402
:about single payer insurance again?
403
:I know if you like your insurance
you should be allowed to
404
:keep it, that's fine with me.
405
:But like there's a bunch of other
countries, like most other countries
406
:have figured this out decades ago.
407
:That it is cheaper and more effective
for everybody to have just like one
408
:nationalized system that everybody
has the same Health insurance, right?
409
:Because right now with private
companies in there, these are
410
:private for profit companies in
many cases, and that means that they
411
:are incentivized to make a profit.
412
:Which means they have to charge
you more than they pay out,
413
:so that they have a profit.
414
:And that means that we are paying
money in not to get benefits
415
:back, but for shareholders
somewhere to get Wealthy, right?
416
:Like this again, this changes
the incentives of how the
417
:insurance company behaves.
418
:And if those insurance companies
are paying lobbyists or giving
419
:money to politicians to get them
reelected, it is creating a cycle.
420
:That is just full of
misaligned incentives, right?
421
:Politicians pass laws to ensure that
insurance companies can stay in place and
422
:earn bigger profits, and then they use
those profits to give bigger checks to
423
:politicians to get them re elected so that
they can ensure that insurance companies
424
:make bigger profits, and they use those
profits to pay off politicians to pass,
425
:like you see this cycle really easily.
426
:That is nuts.
427
:the kind of system that I want, right?
428
:I want people to be able
to go to the doctor.
429
:It is insane to me the amount
of money that we have to pay out
430
:of pocket every month for health
insurance, whether you use it or not.
431
:And then if you do use it, you still
have to pay out of pocket, right?
432
:We've been trying to get my
daughter scheduled to have a
433
:tonsillectomy for several months.
434
:It was supposed to be last fall and then,
or last winter, and she got sick, and
435
:so we had to reschedule for this year.
436
:And we rescheduled it out far
enough because we needed some time
437
:to try to reach our deductible.
438
:And the and now it's been punted again,
and so we're still working on it.
439
:But our decision is governed not
entirely by our daughter's health,
440
:but like by financial consequences
for us, like trying to afford this,
441
:which is not the way we should be
thinking about our health, right?
442
:When we are constantly having
to think, how bad do I need this
443
:preventative measure versus how bad
do I need this money to buy eggs?
444
:And when that's the thing we're
all at home worrying about, Right?
445
:Then we definitely are not, it
diminishes our bandwidth to worry
446
:about big picture problems, right?
447
:Threats to the First Amendment, threats
to democracy, or how elections happen,
448
:how the initial petition happens.
449
:Things that really do have a downstream
consequence for our lives, but when we
450
:are forced to be distracted by the inane,
unnecessary, like, budgetary concerns of
451
:fiscal policy from healthcare decisions
made a decade ago, and how it affects us
452
:month to month now, it is understandable
that we might feel exhausted.
453
:And in many cases, voters
decide to tune out, right?
454
:I get it.
455
:Alright, you may have pickered up
on the fact that this episode is
456
:like two parts news updates, one
part Andy's rants about the system.
457
:Righteous rants, I will
say, but rants nonetheless.
458
:Speaking of threats to the initial
petition process, a bill was
459
:passed in the Senate this week.
460
:And this is spring break, they were
only in session for two days ironic
461
:that they pushed through a nasty
bill when no one's paying attention.
462
:And I haven't really talked
about this much on the show yet.
463
:I've been trying to get some
people together to discuss it,
464
:but we haven't got there yet.
465
:Senate Bill 1027 would make sweeping
changes to the initiative petition or the
466
:ballot initiative process in our state.
467
:And I will begin, as I always do, by
reminding you that the right of the
468
:people to petition their government
is the first right that is enumerated
469
:in the Oklahoma State Constitution.
470
:And that is not by accident, that is
by design, because the framers of our
471
:Constitution knew that there would be
times in the history of our state where
472
:we cannot and should not rely on our
elected officials to do the right thing.
473
:There are, there will be times when
they will be unable or unwilling to
474
:pass the laws that our people need
and demand, and we need to have a
475
:mechanism to do that on our own.
476
:Here we are.
477
:I would argue it's more necessary now
than it's ever been because of how
478
:deeply divided our state is, right?
479
:That politicians who are in office are
not incentivized, as we just discussed,
480
:to pass laws, in many cases, that are
actually to the benefit of the public.
481
:of the public, and they are certainly
not incentivized on any level to pass
482
:laws governing themselves, right?
483
:This is why the legislature,
they opted themselves out of the
484
:Open Record and Open Meeting Act.
485
:This is why the legislature only seems
to propose restrictions on the people's
486
:right to petition their government.
487
:They never pass laws restricting
their own right to do that, right?
488
:We've seen this slide over the
last, I don't know, decade or so.
489
:Ballot initiatives are relatively
few and far between in Oklahoma
490
:compared to other states that have it.
491
:We might have one or two or three
on a ballot, every couple of years.
492
:And sometimes, like last year,
there are some that are referred by
493
:the legislature and those kind of
sneak in without people being aware.
494
:When it's a campaign, when it's
truly a campaign of the people,
495
:because that's a lot of work, right?
496
:There's a lot of people involved.
497
:You have to collect signatures,
you have to promote it, you have to
498
:market it, you have to tell people
about it, you have to do months
499
:and years of education around it.
500
:And that's what's happened with
Open Primaries, which is one that's
501
:going through the process right now.
502
:I've been talking about Open
Primaries since at least:
503
:Oklahoma Academy has been talking
about it for, since:
504
:Oklahoma United has been talking
about it for several years.
505
:Like this is not new.
506
:No one's sneaking this in anywhere.
507
:It is not even for sure on the ballot yet.
508
:We got a long way to go.
509
:Minimum wage is going to
be on the ballot next year.
510
:Again, that campaign, long, arduous, lots
of like headlines, lots of legal battles.
511
:It's a hard work to get
a question on the ballot.
512
:Before that, we worked
on one for redistricting.
513
:Of course, the pandemic happened and we
weren't able to complete that process
514
:because we were all on lockdown.
515
:Before that we had Medicaid expansion,
which is something that the legislature,
516
:that's a great example, the legislature
spent 10 years talking about it.
517
:The legislature even passed
it and enacted it into law and
518
:the governor vetoed it, right?
519
:This was not a new thing.
520
:And it finally, when the legislature was
unable, first they were unwilling, and
521
:then they were unable to get it done.
522
:It went to the people
and the people did it.
523
:It was at criminal justice reform,
but you've also had things that have
524
:been championed by Republicans, right?
525
:Right to work.
526
:Right to farm.
527
:That was more of a corporate
farming bill, not really a right,
528
:but that's how it was marketed.
529
:There were, there've been ballot
initiatives led by, we'll say
530
:partisans or partisan esque
people on both sides of the aisle.
531
:This is not a tool of the left.
532
:This is a tool of the people.
533
:And the legislature, in its infinite
wisdom, some members, are once
534
:again taking aim at it in a way
that is harmful and unnecessary.
535
:So, this bill, Senate Bill 1027,
would do a number of things, and
536
:it's only halfway through, right, or
we'll say a third of the way through.
537
:It's past the Senate, it's
gotta go to the House, and then
538
:ultimately to the Governor's desk.
539
:Some of the things it would do is that
it changes how signatures are collected.
540
:So right now you have to have
a set number of signatures.
541
:You collect them wherever you can.
542
:Most campaigns go to all 77 states
because that's the way to do it, right?
543
:That's the right way to do it.
544
:That's what minimum wage did.
545
:That's what Medicaid expansion did.
546
:That's, we had a really, developed
field plan for redistricting
547
:to go to every county.
548
:You want that.
549
:This would limit it so that you can
only have 10 percent of signatures
550
:from Oklahoma and Tulsa County.
551
:Those are, that is, counties
with 400, 000 or more people.
552
:And then for all the other counties,
the other 75 counties, you can't have
553
:more than 4 percent from any one county.
554
:So you could theoretically not have to go
to every county to like meet this, but a
555
:good campaign is going to every county.
556
:We already do.
557
:That's how you do it.
558
:That's the right thing to do.
559
:And that's how it happens.
560
:It also adds some barriers to the process.
561
:It like Blocks any out of state donations.
562
:It also means you add some changes to the
gist, which is like the language that's
563
:on the signature page when you sign.
564
:You have to have, signature
collectors I think can't be out of
565
:state, that they have name tags,
things that, again, we do right now.
566
:It seems pretty clear that
this might be aimed at the open
567
:primaries effort that's happening.
568
:And I think that campaign is,
I've seen op eds from them,
569
:they're certainly worried, right?
570
:That if you change the process
midstream, that's not fair.
571
:And might, should be illegal.
572
:I don't know.
573
:So, this bill goes over to the
House now, we'll see what happens.
574
:Speaker Hilbert is one of
the authors over there.
575
:There are several
authors in both chambers.
576
:And so we'll see what happens.
577
:It's a long road ahead, right?
578
:There's still a lot of session left.
579
:But it's, and I don't even know
if it's been assigned to a House
580
:committee yet, but I would, if it's
something you're interested in, right?
581
:Like, make your voice heard.
582
:This is an important issue.
583
:We'll send out some action
alerts about it soon.
584
:Okay, that's it for a news roundup,
with, at least on the state level.
585
:But this week in my weekly consumption
of podcasts and other political
586
:media, there's been one thing that's
stood out to me from the rest,
587
:and in some ways it's because it.
588
:Isn't just on one outlet, right?
589
:So there's a guy named David Shore,
S H O R he is head of data science
590
:at an organization called Blue Rose
Research, which is a democratic
591
:messaging firm, like the research firm.
592
:They do tons of studies and
polling and all kinds of stuff.
593
:I guess they're big.
594
:I don't know.
595
:I'm not a democrat.
596
:But David Shore was on the Ezra Klein
show, which I listened to a little bit.
597
:Fairly often, not every episode,
sometimes Ezra drives me nuts
598
:as like a, coastal elite thing.
599
:But if you Google David Shore, S H
O R, today, you'll see his Wikipedia
600
:first, and then under the top stories,
there's one from Vox, the New York
601
:Times, New York Magazine Center
for Economic and Policy, something.
602
:Esquire Magazine the Breakthrough
Institute, just LinkedIn in
603
:general a bunch of things.
604
:And they are all about this guy
and his like new publication.
605
:Young guy is like 33 which is humbling.
606
:He's like 10 years younger than me.
607
:But he has done.
608
:His firm has done a ton of research about
what happened in the:
609
:I think it's fascinating, regardless of
your party affiliation or non affiliation.
610
:But I think data about
voters is fascinating.
611
:Polling surveys about who we
are as Americans is fascinating.
612
:I would I encourage you to
listen to it, or better yet,
613
:watch it because he has slides.
614
:And who doesn't want to sit around
at home watching a YouTube video
615
:of some egghead talking about
political science with slides?
616
:But the graphs are really excellent.
617
:I will admit, I listened to
Ezra's podcast the other day while
618
:we were doing some painting at
the, here in the Democracy Den.
619
:And I got done.
620
:I was like, shoot, I gotta
watch this whole thing again.
621
:It's like an hour long because
I need to see the slides.
622
:They tried to describe them, but as
I've talked to other people who watched
623
:it, they said it's really compelling.
624
:And I think Ezra's voice was pretty
clear that it was really compelling
625
:to see some of these numbers.
626
:And what's fascinating to
me is this shift, right?
627
:So like, I'll just read you some of
the headlines about Shor's article.
628
:From Vox, it says, this is why Kamala
Harris really lost, subheading,
629
:TikTok is making young voters
more Republican, question mark.
630
:And then New York Magazine, why non white
voters and young men drifted to Trump.
631
:And then Esquire, when did we decide
that democracy and improving people's
632
:lives contradicted each other?
633
:This is a.
634
:Another I think op ed piece.
635
:Maybe it's not.
636
:Anyway, that's basically
the theme of all of them.
637
:And I think they're putting
too much emphasis on TikTok.
638
:In some ways.
639
:But they are right to point
out that the media environment
640
:is super fragmented, right?
641
:Those of you who listen to this show are
a select group of people who pay attention
642
:to Oklahoma politics more closely than
probably any of your friends, right?
643
:Each of our episodes gets about 3,
000 downloads in a month which is
644
:way more than I would ever think.
645
:And that's, I take that back.
646
:Each episode probably gets 400
downloads in the first month, but we
647
:have about 3, 000 downloads each month.
648
:So like some people
listen to past episodes.
649
:That sounds like a, that's a lot to me.
650
:It's not like a murder podcast, but
in the scale of like, well, we've
651
:got 3 million eligible voters,
it is a fraction of 1%, right?
652
:The kind of people who vote,
especially in presidential elections,
653
:are increasingly difficult to
quantify, or to even to qualify?
654
:Quantify.
655
:Because there's a lot of folks who are
likely voters, and then there's also an
656
:increasing number of unlikely voters.
657
:I think there's a Trump effect with this.
658
:But a lot of this conversation is about
really how Democrats like lost their base
659
:and like seem to like be unable to message
to even a lot of their own supporters or
660
:more broadly to the electorate in ways
that they used to take for granted, right?
661
:I'm thinking back to 2008.
662
:And hope and change and Obama's first
term and there was like this sentiment
663
:then that like, Oh, Democrats are going
to have a majority for the next 50 years.
664
:Like we've crushed it, we really,
we've unlocked the potential.
665
:And then eight years later, Trump
was elected and Democrats were
666
:like, what the heck happened?
667
:I think Democ or Republicans are
struggling with this in their own way
668
:as well, and that's a conversation for
another day, but I would encourage you
669
:just to watch the conversation around
issues like open primaries, right?
670
:Where there is a fraction or a faction
of the Republican base, especially
671
:politicians who are more interested
in holding on to power and appealing
672
:to a smaller group of voters than
what used to be the case in the party.
673
:But Democrats, there's a trope,
right, about Democrats in disarray.
674
:Even if you watch the West
Wing, they make jokes about it.
675
:President Bartlett makes jokes in,
I think, season six or season seven,
676
:about the media loving to write stories
about Democrats being in disarray.
677
:And I would say that's probably
why David Shore has been so
678
:widely publicized this week.
679
:But also, he's got good data.
680
:And it really is fascinating.
681
:I think As I've told a couple of friends
this week, I think part of the issue
682
:in my mind is that a lot of the thing,
this is my own term, but I'm gonna, I'm
683
:gonna coin it here on the show, that I
think we think about Republicans being
684
:supportive of an American first policy,
especially like in foreign policy, right?
685
:But focusing on what's good
for America first, and then
686
:worry about other countries.
687
:down the road.
688
:And while I take issue with that in a
number of ways, I think what Democrats
689
:miss out on is not America first, but
it's like an American hedonism, right?
690
:Like a pleasure principle of
what it means to be an American.
691
:And they haven't, they're like aloof
in a way that makes it difficult.
692
:And I don't know if this is like the
Coastal elite bias of the Democratic
693
:Party, or this like, education gap that is
often discussed, including on this episode
694
:with David Shore and Ezra Klein, or what.
695
:But Republicans figuring out how
to connect with regular, everyday
696
:folks in a way that is easier,
or at least more successful.
697
:Sometimes it's because they're
just telling them what they want to
698
:hear, and they know they're lying
about it, and that's problematic.
699
:From like a truth standpoint, but
if you just care about electoral
700
:outcomes, seems to be working.
701
:But then other stuff that I think
the left will write off, right?
702
:Like Trump going to the Daytona 500 and
going to like sporting events like that.
703
:All I heard from Democrats or I read
online would be people like, Oh,
704
:this is costing so much money and
oh, what a hassle for everybody.
705
:I was like, yeah, it is.
706
:But it's also pretty cool if you're
at an event and the president comes.
707
:Right?
708
:It might be a hassle, sure, especially
if you don't like the president, but if
709
:you do, or you're neutral about it, you
don't really care, it's still cool to
710
:be in an event where the most powerful
person in the world is also there, right?
711
:To be like, oh wow, they're a
celebrity, I saw them, they're
712
:the president, that's cool.
713
:And I think that, like, simple explanation
connects with people in ways that
714
:esoteric, complicated policy does not.
715
:To connect with what we said about
healthcare earlier, a joke that
716
:I said to Scott the other day was
Americans say we want universal
717
:healthcare, but what Americans
really want is a Bud Light, right?
718
:Like there's like a, and I know that's
reductionist and also like not accurate
719
:for everybody, but you probably
also chuckled a little bit, right?
720
:Because is that solving healthcare
is a huge problem, a huge Yeah.
721
:Complicated system that's very difficult,
and it's much easier to be like, Hey
722
:man, let's just sit down and have a beer.
723
:And that feels relaxing, and
that feels like a relief.
724
:And that is the kind of
government that people want.
725
:A government that they
don't have to worry about.
726
:They're just like, hey, man, this
shit's hard, but he's got my back,
727
:and I got a cold one, so, that's okay.
728
:And I'm not arguing that we
should all be that way, right?
729
:We should not all give up or be simple,
but I do think that anyone who cares about
730
:public policy on any side of politics
needs to be more intentional about how
731
:we meet people where they are, right?
732
:Maybe that's just like, and I think
in many cases that is just showing
733
:up and being present and not come in.
734
:Necessary with a slide deck, not coming
with a fancy, polished presentation.
735
:But it's about building real
relationships, and talking to people
736
:for who they are, and accepting them
for who they are, even when it's ugly.
737
:A little rough around the edges.
738
:Right?
739
:I know I say this all the time, but,
again, to reference the West Wing,
740
:There's a tremendous scene, right,
where Toby says that government, for
741
:all its failings in the past and for
those yet to come, Is a force for good.
742
:And I think that's what
most people really want.
743
:If you really push them.
744
:They don't want it to go away.
745
:Entirely.
746
:They want it to like, get out of the way.
747
:We don't want to have to worry about
saying the wrong thing all the time.
748
:Or fitting in.
749
:I think that's the problem, right?
750
:I think too often, at least
right now, Democrats have made
751
:it more difficult to fit in.
752
:to their group than Republicans have.
753
:You can show up and be a hot mess,
and Republicans are like, come on in.
754
:With Democrats, you gotta
be a little more refined.
755
:And that is off putting to lots of people.
756
:Like, I get it.
757
:And on many cases, people are
not switching to Republicans,
758
:they're switching to no party,
to being independent, or they're
759
:opting out of the whole system.
760
:They're saying, gross, I don't want
to have to work so hard to fit in,
761
:but I also don't want to be down
here with everybody, this is like a
762
:motley crew, I'm just gonna opt out.
763
:And that, as I say almost every week, is
my biggest fear, right, that a smaller
764
:and smaller percentage of the American
electorate will actually participate.
765
:Thankfully, it's not, so far
it's not the case, right?
766
:So far, people are actually
tuning in and showing up, at
767
:least at presidential elections.
768
:But we hope that it happens in
down ballot races as well, right?
769
:That we need people to be
tuned in, to pay attention.
770
:And we, I argue, we need people to be
smart and to be thoughtful and to do
771
:the hard thing, which is to care about
how you're showing up a little bit.
772
:Or at least, like, read, you don't have
to like read the whole chapter, but
773
:you gotta read the bold print vocab
words before something like, you gotta
774
:know how things work a little bit.
775
:Because if we expect government to
just be a, Ronco, set it and forget
776
:it kind of thing that we don't ever
participate in, then we're not doing
777
:the maintenance required to make
sure it's still running properly.
778
:So you gotta pay attention to some.
779
:But I do think that if you are someone
listening to this and you do any kind
780
:of community organizing, and this I'm,
I will acknowledge I am talking to
781
:myself right now you would be amazed
at the piles of notes I have about
782
:This that we're trying to incorporate
into our work, but like, we have to
783
:think about how we're showing up and how
we're expecting others to show up to, and
784
:I, we're not, this is not a reality show.
785
:We're not trying to, or
it's not like a production.
786
:It really is the most basic
of human skills and that's
787
:connecting with one another.
788
:So.
789
:I'm going to walk around with my
head thinking about what Americans
790
:think we want as universal health
care, but what most Americans
791
:really want is just a Bud Light.
792
:In the moment you want to argue about
the quality of Bud Light versus a local
793
:craft beer, you have lost them, right?
794
:I, that's how it goes, right?
795
:You're speaking to a select crowd, but
in general, right, that's not the point.
796
:The point is, Americans
want to take a deep breath.
797
:Everything is hard.
798
:Everything is hard right now.
799
:Things are expensive.
800
:People are worried about
their jobs and their kids.
801
:They are worried about health care.
802
:They're worried about going broke.
803
:They're worried about the retirement
accounts that are, have lost a big
804
:chunk in the last couple of weeks.
805
:There's an immense amount of
uncertainty in the future.
806
:The Fed is holding the rates steady
because they're uncertain about things.
807
:Like, there's a lot of stuff going
on in the world right now, right?
808
:Are we going to annex Canada?
809
:Are we going to be at war with Canada?
810
:What's going to happen with the future?
811
:There's a really good episode of
Freakonomics the other day talking
812
:about the the future impact of the
national debt and deficit, and how
813
:that's The Wharton School of Business
tried to create a financial model, like
814
:a computer model to estimate how big the
national debt will be in like 30 years
815
:and the model broke because basically
under our current economic status our
816
:government will fall apart before,
within 30 years if we don't fix things.
817
:So like, shit is bad.
818
:Things are not good right now.
819
:We've got some real
problems we need to solve.
820
:And because of that, we have to be
intentional about how we approach them.
821
:And step one is like
getting everybody on board.
822
:And that means we gotta be a little more
accepting of who is coming in the room
823
:and just celebrate that they're there.
824
:We can work on refining things later,
but we need everybody in the room.
825
:And if you're gonna, if we're gonna
be at the door, Like a bouncer and
826
:keeping out a whole bunch of folks
that want to be in the room really bad.
827
:We are limiting our success,
like from step one, step two is
828
:educating all those people on the
problem and the solutions, right?
829
:Step three is making some action
plans for how we're going to implement
830
:the solutions that we've identified.
831
:That's a step.
832
:Okay.
833
:Well, that really ended
up on a rosy note, right?
834
:Great.
835
:Thanks.
836
:Thanks for being here.
837
:Like, thanks for listening.
838
:Thanks for being willing to stand
in uncomfortable spaces with us, to
839
:wrestle with difficult issues with us.
840
:Thanks for listening to
my voice for an hour.
841
:That's not how you want to spend
your week every week, I don't think.
842
:Hey, friends, regardless of what
kind of beer you like to drink or
843
:don't like to drink, if you don't
like beer, that's fine, right?
844
:Let's find ways to show up for
one another this week, right?
845
:Decisions are made by those who show up.
846
:A great chance to get involved and to
dig a little bit deeper for all of us
847
:is CivicsCon, which is coming up April
10th and 11th at Rose State College.
848
:Go to civicscon.
849
:com.
850
:Get your tickets, they're just 25.
851
:We're gonna have some big
announcements coming out in the
852
:next few days with an agenda.
853
:It's gonna be rad.
854
:So if you're not on our mailing list
already, please go to letsfixthis.
855
:org and sign up.
856
:And then go to civicscon.
857
:com to get your tickets.
858
:Can't wait to see you there.
859
:Until then, have a good weekend.